Persistent Forecasting of Disruptive Technologies - Report 2
Committee on Forecasting Future Disruptive Technologies. Division on Engineering and Physical Sciences
NAS Press | 2010 | ISBN: 0309149045 9780309149044 | 342 pages | PDF | 32 MB
This is the second of the two reports of the series, Persistent Forecasting of Disruptive Technologies, discussed how technology forecasts were historically made, assessed various existing forecasting systems, and identified desirable attributes of a next-generation persistent long-term forecasting system for disruptive technologies. This second book attempts to sketch out high-level forecasting system designs. In addition, the book provides further evaluation of the system attributes defined in the first report, and evidence of the feasibility of creating a system with those attributes.